Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-05-20 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 59.1%

FLA: 40.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.46

FLA: 3.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • CAR at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-05-26	FLA 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	14	0	1.17
1	FLA	10	0	0.41
2	CAR	18	0	0.72
2	FLA	12	0	0.65
3	CAR	25	1	1.38
3	FLA	7	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.6