Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-05-23 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 0 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

DAL: 33.0%

EDM: 67.0%

Expected Goals

DAL: 2.58

EDM: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	DAL 7 - 2 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-11-25	EDM 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	EDM
2025-11-04	DAL 4 - 3 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-05-29	DAL 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-05-27	EDM 4 - 1 DAL	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	13	1	0.85
1	EDM	16	0	1.00
2	DAL	12	1	0.77
2	EDM	16	0	1.30
3	DAL	21	1	1.77
3	EDM	7	1	1.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 0 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.6 - 3.5