Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-05-25 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 1 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 61.5%
DAL: 38.5%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.43
DAL: 2.27
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | EDM | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.913 | 0.880 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • EDM at home vs DAL: 5-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 | EDM 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | EDM |
| 2025-11-04 | DAL 4 - 3 EDM | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-29 | DAL 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | DAL |
| 2025-05-27 | EDM 4 - 1 DAL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-05-25 | EDM 6 - 1 DAL | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:38 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 14:02 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 19:41 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 15:35 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 17:40 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 12:06 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 03:25 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 1 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.4 - 2.3