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Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-05-29 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 3 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
DAL: 41.6%
EDM: 58.4%
Expected Goals
DAL: 2.73
EDM: 3.51
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 54%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
StatDALEDM
Season SV%0.9070.906
Last 5 SV%0.9160.837
SV% vs Opponent0.9120.820
GAA2.572.73
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs EDM: 6-5
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-03-12DAL 7 - 2 EDMDALDAL
2025-11-25EDM 3 - 8 DALDALEDM
2025-11-04DAL 4 - 3 EDMDALDAL
2025-05-29DAL 3 - 6 EDMEDMEDM
2025-05-27EDM 4 - 1 DALEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
102:31EDMGoal
107:09EDMGoal
108:07EDMGoal
111:40EDMGoal
212:27EDMGoal
214:28EDMGoal
300:38EDMGoal
303:21EDMGoal
319:49EDMGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 3 - 6 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.7 - 3.5