Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-06-04 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

EDM: 51.8%

FLA: 48.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.17

FLA: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	32	29	3	90.6%	3.59	4	0.59
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	46	42	4	91.3%	4.37	3	0.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	EDM
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	18	1	1.56
1	FLA	15	0	0.86
2	EDM	13	1	0.76
2	FLA	23	2	1.66
3	EDM	19	0	1.05
3	FLA	6	0	0.26
4	EDM	16	1	1.00
4	FLA	15	2	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8