Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-06-06 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 55.6%
FLA: 44.4%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.36
FLA: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | EDM | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.919 | 0.765 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | FLA 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | FLA |
| 2025-06-17 | FLA 5 - 1 EDM | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-06-14 | EDM 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | EDM |
| 2025-06-12 | FLA 4 - 5 EDM | EDM | FLA |
| 2025-06-09 | FLA 6 - 1 EDM | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:37 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 11:37 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 09:19 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 07:39 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 02:07 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 12:09 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 08:23 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 19:42 | EDM | Goal |
| 5 | 08:05 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9