Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-06-06 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 52.7%

FLA: 47.3%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.32

FLA: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	20	0	1.90
1	FLA	17	0	1.42
2	EDM	13	0	0.98
2	FLA	25	1	1.54
3	EDM	14	1	1.40
3	FLA	7	0	0.26
4	EDM	20	1	0.79
4	FLA	14	0	0.55
5	EDM	2	0	0.11
5	FLA	4	0	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4