Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-06-09 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 6 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

FLA: 51.5%

EDM: 48.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.47

EDM: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • FLA at home vs EDM: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	FLA	13	1.04
1	EDM	15	1.01
2	FLA	12	0.75
2	EDM	16	0.60
3	FLA	17	1.34
3	EDM	11	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 6 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0