Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-06-12 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 57.9%
EDM: 42.1%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.20
EDM: 3.35
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | FLA | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.765 | 0.919 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • FLA at home vs EDM: 7-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | FLA 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | FLA |
| 2025-06-17 | FLA 5 - 1 EDM | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-06-14 | EDM 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | EDM |
| 2025-06-12 | FLA 4 - 5 EDM | EDM | FLA |
| 2025-06-09 | FLA 6 - 1 EDM | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:18 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 16:56 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 11:40 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:05 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 12:47 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 03:33 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:40 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 13:36 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 11:18 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.4