Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-06-14 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 58.4%
FLA: 41.6%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.09
FLA: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | EDM | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.919 | 0.765 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | FLA 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | FLA |
| 2025-06-17 | FLA 5 - 1 EDM | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-06-14 | EDM 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | EDM |
| 2025-06-12 | FLA 4 - 5 EDM | EDM | FLA |
| 2025-06-09 | FLA 6 - 1 EDM | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:06 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 09:12 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:41 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:47 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 08:10 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:24 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:12 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8