Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-06-17 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

FLA: 56.7%

EDM: 43.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.57

EDM: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	29	28	1	96.6%	1.82	1	0.82
EDM	Stuart Skinner	25	20	5	80.0%	3.80	5	-1.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • FLA at home vs EDM: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	0	1.17
1	EDM	15	0	0.31
2	FLA	11	1	0.70
2	EDM	13	0	0.55
3	FLA	10	4	1.93
3	EDM	12	1	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9