Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-10-09 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

FLA: 76.8%

PHI: 23.2%

Expected Goals

FLA: 2.96

PHI: 1.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 54%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs PHI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	FLA 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	FLA
2025-10-13	PHI 5 - 2 FLA	PHI	PHI
2025-10-09	FLA 2 - 1 PHI	FLA	FLA
2025-01-13	PHI 4 - 3 FLA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-05	PHI 5 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	18	0	0.73
1	PHI	10	1	0.75
2	FLA	20	0	1.36
2	PHI	14	1	0.85
3	FLA	13	1	1.18
3	PHI	8	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 4.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.0 - 2.0