New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-10-09 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CAR: 51.7%

NJD: 48.3%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.81

NJD: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 94% • CAR at home vs NJD: 9-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	0	0.99
1	NJD	10	1	0.66
2	CAR	19	2	1.70
2	NJD	14	0	0.87
3	CAR	16	2	1.74
3	NJD	8	0	0.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0