New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-10-09 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 50.0%
NJD: 50.0%
Expected Goals
CAR: 2.72
NJD: 3.32
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | CAR | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.966 | 0.866 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CAR at home vs NJD: 8-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | NJD 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | NJD |
| 2026-01-04 | NJD 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | NJD |
| 2025-10-09 | CAR 6 - 3 NJD | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-29 | CAR 5 - 4 NJD | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-27 | NJD 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:06 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:54 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:23 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 08:15 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:47 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:05 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:17 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 11:38 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 10:21 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.7 - 3.3