Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-10-09 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 0 - 5 Minnesota Wild

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 39.5%

MIN: 60.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 1.39

MIN: 4.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Stat	STL	MIN
Season SV%	0.869	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.56	2.47

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	21	16	5	76.2%	2.07	2	-2.93
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	26	26	0	100.0%	2.75	2	2.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • STL at home vs MIN: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	MIN
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	1	0.75
1	MIN	13	0	0.69
2	STL	21	1	1.35
2	MIN	7	1	0.68
3	STL	12	0	0.65
3	MIN	12	1	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown