Utah Hockey Club at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-10-09 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

COL: 69.2%

UTA: 30.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.65

UTA: 2.13

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • COL at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	UTA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-23	COL 1 - 0 UTA	COL	COL
2025-10-21	UTA 4 - 3 COL	UTA	UTA
2025-10-09	COL 2 - 1 UTA	COL	COL
2024-12-27	UTA 1 - 4 COL	COL	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	18	1	1.20
1	UTA	14	0	0.42
2	COL	10	0	0.44
2	UTA	16	0	0.95
3	COL	14	1	1.30
3	UTA	18	0	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 4.6 - 2.1