Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-10-09 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 5 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

VAN: 70.6%

CGY: 29.4%

Expected Goals

VAN: 4.21

CGY: 2.38

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 36%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • VAN at home vs CGY: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	10	0	0.38
1	CGY	14	0	0.62
2	VAN	11	0	0.64
2	CGY	15	1	0.91
3	VAN	17	1	1.16
3	CGY	7	1	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 5 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 4.2 - 2.4