Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-10-09 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 5 - 1 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 50.0%
CGY: 50.0%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.66
CGY: 3.79
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | VAN | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.762 | 0.877 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VAN at home vs CGY: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | VAN 2 - 5 CGY | CGY | VAN |
| 2025-10-09 | VAN 5 - 1 CGY | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-03-12 | CGY 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | CGY |
| 2024-12-31 | CGY 3 - 1 VAN | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-11-12 | VAN 3 - 1 CGY | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:53 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 17:06 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 13:06 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 11:43 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 08:53 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 02:54 | VAN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 5 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 2.7 - 3.8