Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-10-09 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 50.0%
VGK: 50.0%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.35
VGK: 4.37
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | SJS | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.787 | 0.870 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SJS at home vs VGK: 0-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | SJS 2 - 7 VGK | VGK | SJS |
| 2025-12-23 | VGK 7 - 2 SJS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-11-29 | VGK 4 - 3 SJS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-10-09 | SJS 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | SJS |
| 2025-01-07 | SJS 2 - 4 VGK | VGK | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:09 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 05:31 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 14:22 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:59 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:26 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 02:59 | SJS | Goal |
| 4 | 01:24 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 2.4 - 4.4