Los Angeles Kings at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-10-11 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 50.8%

LAK: 49.2%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.84

LAK: 2.58

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	WPG	LAK
Season SV%	0.907	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.51	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	32	30	2	93.8%	3.65	3	1.65
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	27	24	3	88.9%	3.62	4	0.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs LAK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-09	WPG 5 - 1 LAK	WPG	LAK
2025-11-04	LAK 3 - 0 WPG	LAK	LAK
2025-10-11	WPG 3 - 2 LAK	WPG	WPG
2025-04-01	LAK 4 - 1 WPG	LAK	LAK
2025-01-10	WPG 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	23	2	1.92
1	LAK	12	3	1.31
2	WPG	11	1	0.75
2	LAK	16	0	0.92
3	WPG	11	1	0.95
3	LAK	16	0	1.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown