Los Angeles Kings at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-10-11 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 48.4%

LAK: 51.6%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.12

LAK: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WPG at home vs LAK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-09	WPG 5 - 1 LAK	WPG	LAK
2025-11-04	LAK 3 - 0 WPG	LAK	LAK
2025-10-11	WPG 3 - 2 LAK	WPG	LAK
2025-04-01	LAK 4 - 1 WPG	LAK	LAK
2025-01-10	WPG 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	23	2	1.92
1	LAK	12	3	1.31
2	WPG	11	1	0.75
2	LAK	16	0	0.92
3	WPG	11	1	0.95
3	LAK	16	0	1.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1