Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-10-11 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 6 - 2 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 45.0%

OTT: 55.0%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.85

OTT: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs OTT: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	OTT
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	11	0	0.86
1	OTT	12	0	0.47
2	FLA	13	2	1.06
2	OTT	7	0	0.59
3	FLA	12	0	1.05
3	OTT	18	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 6 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.9 - 3.0