PIT vs NYR - 2025-10-11
2025-10-11 • PPG Paints Arena
PIT 1 - 6 NYR
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 51.9%
NYR: 48.1%
Expected Goals
PIT: 2.76
NYR: 2.50
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 14-12-4 | 0.893 SV% | 2.71 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:40 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 03:04 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 06:06 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:25 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:38 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 05:40 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:12 | NYR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.3
Score Breakdown
PIT 1 - 6 NYR
Expected: 2.8 - 2.5