Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-10-11 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 73.3%

PHI: 26.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.01

PHI: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs PHI: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	24	3	2.05
1	PHI	9	1	1.11
2	CAR	18	2	1.42
2	PHI	18	3	1.87
3	CAR	20	1	2.02
3	PHI	8	0	0.46
4	CAR	3	0	0.36
4	PHI	1	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 4.0 - 2.9