Montreal Canadiens at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-10-11 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

CHI: 41.0%

MTL: 59.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.68

MTL: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs MTL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	MTL 4 - 1 CHI	MTL	MTL
2025-10-11	CHI 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-14	MTL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	MTL
2025-01-03	CHI 4 - 2 MTL	CHI	MTL
2023-12-22	CHI 2 - 5 MTL	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	7	1	0.61
1	MTL	15	1	1.37
2	CHI	11	0	0.43
2	MTL	15	2	1.54
3	CHI	16	0	0.79
3	MTL	13	1	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 2.7 - 3.5