Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-10-11 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

EDM: 63.4%

VAN: 36.6%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.90

VAN: 2.07

Total Goals

Median: 5.4

Over 5.5: 41%

Over 6.5: 29%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • EDM at home vs VAN: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2025-01-23	EDM 6 - 2 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	18	4	2.18
1	VAN	7	0	0.45
2	EDM	20	1	1.26
2	VAN	7	2	1.07
3	EDM	16	4	2.26
3	VAN	12	1	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.0

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.9 - 2.1