Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-10-11 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 50.4%
VGK: 49.6%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.44
VGK: 2.64
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | SEA | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.946 | 0.864 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • SEA at home vs VGK: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | VGK 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | VGK |
| 2025-10-11 | SEA 2 - 1 VGK | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-04-10 | VGK 2 - 1 SEA | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-12-21 | VGK 6 - 2 SEA | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-11-08 | SEA 4 - 3 VGK | SEA | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 07:58 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:11 | SEA | Goal |
| 4 | 04:56 | SEA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6