St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-10-13 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 53.2%

STL: 46.8%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.94

STL: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VAN at home vs STL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	16	0	0.33
1	STL	18	1	1.01
2	VAN	15	2	1.24
2	STL	24	2	1.79
3	VAN	16	2	1.60
3	STL	7	1	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9