Nashville Predators at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2025-10-14 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 7 - 4 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

TOR: 57.4%

NSH: 42.6%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.18

NSH: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • TOR at home vs NSH: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	NSH 5 - 3 TOR	NSH	NSH
2025-10-14	TOR 7 - 4 NSH	TOR	TOR
2025-03-22	NSH 5 - 2 TOR	NSH	NSH
2024-12-04	TOR 3 - 2 NSH	TOR	TOR
2023-12-09	TOR 4 - 0 NSH	TOR	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	16	0	1.02
1	NSH	10	1	0.72
2	TOR	10	0	0.70
2	NSH	20	0	1.24
3	TOR	19	3	3.08
3	NSH	14	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 7 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.5