Seattle Kraken at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-10-14 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken (OT)

Win Probability

MTL: 66.3%

SEA: 33.7%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.59

SEA: 3.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	SEA 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-10-14	MTL 5 - 4 SEA	MTL	MTL
2025-03-12	SEA 5 - 4 MTL	SEA	SEA
2024-10-29	MTL 2 - 8 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-03-24	SEA 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	12	0	0.64
1	SEA	4	0	0.23
2	MTL	13	1	0.97
2	SEA	19	2	1.28
3	MTL	8	0	0.46
3	SEA	10	0	0.49
4	MTL	2	0	0.18
4	SEA	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.6 - 3.9