Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-10-14 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 0 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYR: 49.1%

EDM: 50.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.06

EDM: 1.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Stat	NYR	EDM
Season SV%	0.910	0.896
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.51	2.81

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	22	20	2	90.9%	2.62	1	0.62
EDM	Stuart Skinner	30	30	0	100.0%	3.82	4	3.82

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs EDM: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-30	EDM 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	EDM
2025-10-14	NYR 0 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-16	NYR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-11-23	EDM 6 - 2 NYR	EDM	EDM
2023-12-22	NYR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	11	1	0.78
1	EDM	12	0	0.36
2	NYR	17	2	1.64
2	EDM	7	0	0.36
3	NYR	21	1	1.40
3	EDM	14	1	1.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.0

Score Breakdown