BUF vs OTT - 2025-10-15
2025-10-15 • KeyBank Center
BUF 8 - 4 OTT
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 49.8%
OTT: 50.2%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.21
OTT: 3.58
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
OTT
Leevi Meriläinen - 6-10-0 | 0.866 SV% | 3.48 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:01 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 16:09 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 03:58 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 06:46 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 10:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:46 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 13:43 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 00:40 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 02:15 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 02:32 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 03:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 16:44 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
BUF 8 - 4 OTT
Expected: 3.2 - 3.6