Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-10-15 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 8 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (76% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 75.9%

CHI: 24.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 4.20

CHI: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • STL at home vs CHI: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	CHI 3 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2026-01-07	CHI 7 - 3 STL	CHI	STL
2025-12-12	STL 3 - 2 CHI	STL	STL
2025-10-15	STL 3 - 8 CHI	CHI	STL
2025-03-22	STL 4 - 1 CHI	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	11	1	1.29
1	CHI	15	0	0.67
2	STL	11	0	0.47
2	CHI	16	2	1.75
3	STL	21	1	1.33
3	CHI	12	1	1.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 75.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 8 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.2 - 3.3