Calgary Flames at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-10-15 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 1 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 51.3%
CGY: 48.7%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.06
CGY: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | UTA | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.950 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • UTA at home vs CGY: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | CGY 2 - 0 UTA | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-10-15 | UTA 3 - 1 CGY | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-04-01 | UTA 3 - 1 CGY | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-02 | CGY 3 - 5 UTA | UTA | CGY |
| 2024-10-30 | UTA 5 - 1 CGY | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:37 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 01:16 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 04:24 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:37 | UTA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1