New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2025-10-16 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 1 New York Rangers (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

TOR: 39.7%

NYR: 60.3%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.11

NYR: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 7.5

Over 5.5: 76%

Over 6.5: 62%

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • TOR at home vs NYR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-25	TOR 4 - 3 NYR	TOR	NYR
2026-03-05	NYR 6 - 2 TOR	NYR	NYR
2025-10-16	TOR 2 - 1 NYR	TOR	NYR
2025-03-20	NYR 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	NYR
2025-02-28	NYR 2 - 3 TOR	TOR	TOR

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 1 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5