Nashville Predators at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-10-16 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Nashville Predators (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 51.5%
NSH: 48.5%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.21
NSH: 3.29
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | MTL | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • MTL at home vs NSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 | MTL 3 - 2 NSH | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-04-06 | NSH 1 - 2 MTL | MTL | NSH |
| 2024-12-05 | MTL 3 - 0 NSH | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-03-05 | NSH 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | NSH |
| 2023-12-10 | MTL 1 - 2 NSH | NSH | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 11:36 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:40 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:21 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 06:02 | MTL | Goal |
| 4 | 04:57 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.2 - 3.3