Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-10-16 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 48.0%

EDM: 52.0%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.30

EDM: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYI at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	EDM 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	EDM
2025-10-16	NYI 4 - 2 EDM	NYI	EDM
2025-03-14	NYI 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	NYI
2024-11-12	EDM 4 - 3 NYI	EDM	EDM
2023-12-19	NYI 3 - 1 EDM	NYI	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	19	1	1.32
1	EDM	13	2	1.16
2	NYI	13	1	0.92
2	EDM	22	1	1.56
3	NYI	11	2	1.84
3	EDM	13	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4