Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2025-10-16 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 50.9%
COL: 49.1%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.11
COL: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.957 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs COL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | COL 4 - 0 CBJ | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-16 | CBJ 1 - 4 COL | COL | CBJ |
| 2025-04-03 | CBJ 3 - 7 COL | COL | CBJ |
| 2024-10-12 | COL 4 - 6 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-04-01 | CBJ 4 - 1 COL | CBJ | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:36 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 10:34 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 11:46 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:56 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:07 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.1 - 3.2