Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-10-16 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

CBJ: 33.6%

COL: 66.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.04

COL: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs COL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	COL 4 - 0 CBJ	COL	COL
2025-10-16	CBJ 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-03	CBJ 3 - 7 COL	COL	COL
2024-10-12	COL 4 - 6 CBJ	CBJ	COL
2024-04-01	CBJ 4 - 1 COL	CBJ	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	14	0	0.76
1	COL	20	1	1.78
2	CBJ	11	0	0.40
2	COL	21	0	1.53
3	CBJ	15	1	0.94
3	COL	14	2	1.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.0 - 3.4