Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-10-16 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 5 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 51.0%
BOS: 49.0%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.02
BOS: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | VGK | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.830 | 0.838 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VGK at home vs BOS: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | BOS 4 - 3 VGK | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-10-16 | VGK 6 - 5 BOS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-20 | VGK 5 - 1 BOS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-02-08 | BOS 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | BOS |
| 2024-02-29 | BOS 5 - 4 VGK | BOS | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:33 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 16:44 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 03:35 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 02:05 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 18:24 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 08:15 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 06:35 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 04:14 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 05:12 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 04:05 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 02:19 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 5 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.0 - 2.7