San Jose Sharks at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-10-17 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 6 - 3 San Jose Sharks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 81.7%

SJS: 18.3%

Expected Goals

UTA: 4.38

SJS: 2.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

Stat	UTA	SJS
Season SV%	0.895	0.896
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.68	3.36

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	21	18	3	85.7%	1.65	0	-1.35
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	34	28	6	82.4%	3.47	3	-2.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • UTA at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-01	SJS 6 - 3 UTA	SJS	UTA
2025-11-18	SJS 3 - 2 UTA	SJS	SJS
2025-10-17	UTA 6 - 3 SJS	UTA	UTA
2025-01-10	UTA 2 - 1 SJS	UTA	UTA
2024-12-14	SJS 3 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	22	1	1.49
1	SJS	8	0	0.32
2	UTA	15	1	1.00
2	SJS	11	0	0.48
3	UTA	12	1	0.98
3	SJS	9	0	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 81.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown