Edmonton Oilers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-10-18 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 44.5%

EDM: 55.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.00

EDM: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	EDM 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	EDM
2025-10-18	NJD 5 - 3 EDM	NJD	EDM
2025-03-13	NJD 3 - 2 EDM	NJD	EDM
2024-11-04	EDM 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	EDM
2023-12-21	NJD 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	7	1	0.45
1	EDM	13	2	0.95
2	NJD	20	0	1.64
2	EDM	18	1	1.19
3	NJD	10	2	1.48
3	EDM	9	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3