Seattle Kraken at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2025-10-18 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken (OT)

Win Probability

TOR: 45.8%

SEA: 54.2%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.13

SEA: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • TOR at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	SEA 5 - 2 TOR	SEA	SEA
2025-10-18	TOR 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-02-06	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	TOR
2024-10-31	TOR 4 - 1 SEA	TOR	TOR
2024-01-21	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	11	0	0.48
1	SEA	8	1	0.69
2	TOR	16	0	0.89
2	SEA	13	0	0.55
3	TOR	13	1	0.82
3	SEA	11	0	0.67
4	TOR	1	0	0.06
4	SEA	4	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3