Seattle Kraken at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2025-10-18 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 52.2%
SEA: 47.8%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.42
SEA: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | TOR | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.918 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs SEA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | SEA 5 - 2 TOR | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-10-18 | TOR 3 - 4 SEA | SEA | TOR |
| 2025-02-06 | SEA 1 - 3 TOR | TOR | SEA |
| 2024-10-31 | TOR 4 - 1 SEA | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-01-21 | SEA 1 - 3 TOR | TOR | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:56 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 07:29 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 17:44 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 16:01 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 14:19 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 01:21 | TOR | Goal |
| 4 | 03:06 | SEA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9