Minnesota Wild at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-10-18 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Minnesota Wild (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 66.3%
MIN: 33.7%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.74
MIN: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 36%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs MIN: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | MIN 2 - 3 PHI | PHI | MIN |
| 2025-10-18 | PHI 2 - 1 MIN | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-14 | MIN 4 - 1 PHI | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-10-26 | PHI 7 - 5 MIN | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-01-12 | MIN 3 - 4 PHI | PHI | MIN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 13 | 0 | 1.10 |
| 1 | MIN | 8 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 2 | PHI | 8 | 0 | 0.38 |
| 2 | MIN | 14 | 0 | 0.77 |
| 3 | PHI | 13 | 0 | 0.91 |
| 3 | MIN | 14 | 0 | 0.96 |
| 4 | PHI | 1 | 0 | 0.13 |
| 4 | MIN | 2 | 0 | 0.21 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.7 - 2.9
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