Minnesota Wild at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-10-18 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Minnesota Wild (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PHI: 64.5%

MIN: 35.5%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.75

MIN: 3.99

Total Goals

Median: 5.2

Over 5.5: 49%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PHI

Dan Vladar - 14-6-3 | 0.910 SV% | 2.40 GAA

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

Stat	PHI	MIN
Season SV%	0.910	0.928
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.40	2.21

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	Dan Vladar	16	15	1	93.8%	2.17	0	1.17
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	21	19	2	90.5%	2.52	0	0.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs MIN: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	MIN 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	MIN
2025-10-18	PHI 2 - 1 MIN	PHI	PHI
2024-12-14	MIN 4 - 1 PHI	MIN	MIN
2024-10-26	PHI 7 - 5 MIN	PHI	PHI
2024-01-12	MIN 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	PHI	13	1.10
1	MIN	8	0.24
2	PHI	8	0.38
2	MIN	14	0.77
3	PHI	13	0.91
3	MIN	14	0.96
4	PHI	1	0.13
4	MIN	2	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 7.7

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.7 - 4.0