Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-10-18 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

CBJ: 63.0%

TBL: 37.0%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.37

TBL: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CBJ at home vs TBL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	TBL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TBL
2026-01-24	CBJ 8 - 5 TBL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-18	CBJ 3 - 2 TBL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-04	TBL 6 - 2 CBJ	TBL	TBL
2024-12-17	TBL 5 - 3 CBJ	TBL	TBL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	15	3	1.34
1	TBL	12	1	1.17
2	CBJ	23	0	1.38
2	TBL	6	0	0.11
3	CBJ	9	0	0.33
3	TBL	25	3	2.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1