Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-10-18 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 Nashville Predators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 60.6%

NSH: 39.4%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.34

NSH: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	WPG	NSH
Season SV%	0.907	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.51	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	31	30	1	96.8%	3.32	0	2.32
NSH	Juuse Saros	24	20	4	83.3%	3.96	4	-0.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • WPG at home vs NSH: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	WPG 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	WPG
2025-11-29	NSH 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NSH
2025-10-18	WPG 4 - 1 NSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-27	NSH 2 - 1 WPG	NSH	WPG
2025-01-07	WPG 5 - 2 NSH	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	4	2.18
1	NSH	14	0	0.71
2	WPG	10	0	0.93
2	NSH	25	0	1.78
3	WPG	13	0	0.85
3	NSH	18	0	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown