Edmonton Oilers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-10-19 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

DET: 58.7%

EDM: 41.3%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.07

EDM: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DET at home vs EDM: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-11	EDM 4 - 1 DET	EDM	EDM
2025-10-19	DET 4 - 2 EDM	DET	DET
2025-01-30	EDM 2 - 3 DET	DET	EDM
2024-10-27	DET 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-02-13	EDM 8 - 4 DET	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	12	0	0.77
1	EDM	6	0	0.28
2	DET	16	1	0.88
2	EDM	13	0	0.88
3	DET	11	1	1.09
3	EDM	12	1	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1