Edmonton Oilers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-10-19 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 51.0%
EDM: 49.0%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.51
EDM: 4.24
Total Goals
Median: 7.6
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 65%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | DET | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs EDM: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | EDM 4 - 1 DET | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-10-19 | DET 4 - 2 EDM | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-30 | EDM 2 - 3 DET | DET | EDM |
| 2024-10-27 | DET 2 - 3 EDM | EDM | DET |
| 2024-02-13 | EDM 8 - 4 DET | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 17:05 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 12:25 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 11:54 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 08:51 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 18:38 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 07:33 | DET | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 7.8
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.5 - 4.2