Anaheim Ducks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-10-19 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 39.3%

ANA: 60.7%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.76

ANA: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Stat	CHI	ANA
Season SV%	0.909	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	3.15

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	39	38	1	97.4%	2.90	1	1.90
ANA	Lukas Dostal	30	28	2	93.3%	3.17	1	1.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CHI at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	ANA 7 - 1 CHI	ANA	ANA
2025-11-30	CHI 5 - 3 ANA	CHI	ANA
2025-10-19	CHI 2 - 1 ANA	CHI	ANA
2025-03-01	ANA 3 - 6 CHI	CHI	ANA
2024-11-19	CHI 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CHI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	0	1.02
1	ANA	20	0	1.21
2	CHI	12	0	0.56
2	ANA	13	0	0.68
3	CHI	15	0	0.87
3	ANA	19	0	0.49
4	CHI	5	1	0.72
4	ANA	3	1	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 2.8 - 2.7