Boston Bruins at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-10-19 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 67.6%

BOS: 32.4%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.79

BOS: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

Vitek Vanecek - 2-9-1 | 0.879 SV% | 2.92 GAA

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

Stat	UTA	BOS
Season SV%	0.879	0.882
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.92	3.60

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Vitek Vanecek	26	24	2	92.3%	1.85	1	-0.15
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	27	24	3	88.9%	2.99	2	-0.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • UTA at home vs BOS: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	BOS 4 - 1 UTA	BOS	BOS
2025-10-19	UTA 3 - 2 BOS	UTA	UTA
2024-11-21	BOS 1 - 0 UTA	BOS	BOS
2024-10-19	UTA 2 - 1 BOS	UTA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	18	1	1.07
1	BOS	12	1	0.51
2	UTA	11	0	1.25
2	BOS	16	0	1.07
3	UTA	11	1	0.66
3	BOS	4	0	0.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown