Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-10-20 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 54.1%
MIN: 45.9%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.55
MIN: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | NYR | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.935 | 0.958 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs MIN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | NYR 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | NYR |
| 2025-04-02 | NYR 5 - 4 MIN | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-03-13 | MIN 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | MIN |
| 2023-11-09 | NYR 4 - 1 MIN | NYR | NYR |
| 2023-11-04 | MIN 5 - 4 NYR | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:10 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 00:57 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:24 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 08:16 | MIN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.6 - 2.9