Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-10-20 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 2 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PHI: 54.2%

SEA: 45.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.72

SEA: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 35%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PHI

Dan Vladar - 14-6-3 | 0.910 SV% | 2.40 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Stat	PHI	SEA
Season SV%	0.910	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.40	2.77

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	Dan Vladar	23	21	2	91.3%	2.45	0	0.45
SEA	Joey Daccord	27	22	5	81.5%	2.38	2	-2.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-28	SEA 4 - 1 PHI	SEA	PHI
2025-10-20	PHI 5 - 2 SEA	PHI	PHI
2025-03-08	PHI 1 - 4 SEA	SEA	PHI
2024-10-17	SEA 6 - 4 PHI	SEA	SEA
2024-02-10	PHI 3 - 2 SEA	PHI	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	14	1	1.05
1	SEA	11	0	1.17
2	PHI	13	1	0.95
2	SEA	14	0	0.61
3	PHI	9	0	0.38
3	SEA	11	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown