Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-10-20 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 1 - 2 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 53.5%
WPG: 46.5%
Expected Goals
CGY: 2.95
WPG: 3.40
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | CGY | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.940 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • CGY at home vs WPG: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | CGY 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-10-24 | WPG 5 - 3 CGY | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-10-20 | CGY 1 - 2 WPG | WPG | CGY |
| 2025-01-26 | WPG 5 - 2 CGY | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-01-18 | WPG 1 - 3 CGY | CGY | CGY |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 1 - 2 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.0 - 3.4
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