Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-10-20 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (64% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 35.7%

CAR: 64.3%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.76

CAR: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • VGK at home vs CAR: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-06-14	VGK 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-11	CAR 4 - 2 VGK	CAR	CAR
2026-06-09	VGK 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-06	VGK 5 - 4 CAR	VGK	CAR
2026-06-04	CAR 4 - 3 VGK	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	14	1	1.15
1	CAR	10	0	0.43
2	VGK	10	1	0.69
2	CAR	11	0	0.78
3	VGK	13	1	1.09
3	CAR	16	0	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 2.9