TOR vs NJD - 2025-10-21
2025-10-21 • Scotiabank Arena
TOR 2 - 5 NJD
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 54.7%
NJD: 45.3%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.41
NJD: 2.55
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 11-4-2 | 0.918 SV% | 2.54 GAA
NJD
Jake Allen - 11-11-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:36 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:27 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 03:20 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 04:54 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 07:03 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 16:17 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 19:30 | NJD | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
TOR 2 - 5 NJD
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6