Edmonton Oilers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-10-21 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 57.0%

EDM: 43.0%

Expected Goals

OTT: 2.81

EDM: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 4.6

Over 5.5: 37%

Over 6.5: 25%

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • OTT at home vs EDM: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	EDM 5 - 4 OTT	EDM	EDM
2025-10-21	OTT 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	OTT
2024-12-22	EDM 3 - 1 OTT	EDM	EDM
2024-11-19	OTT 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-03-24	OTT 5 - 3 EDM	OTT	OTT

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0